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Earnings Call Transcript

Greenpanel Industries Earnings Call Transcript: Key Takeaways

Q2 FY27 revenue of ₹407 Cr (+4.6% YoY) masks a 3.4% volume decline. EBITDA margin fell to 7.5% from 9.6% QoQ, and OEM recovery is deferred to coming quarters.

Highlights
Revenue growthRevenue +4.6% YoY, +16.4% QoQ; H1 +6.3%; volume-led sequential rebound.
MarginsEBITDA margin 7.5%, down from 9.6% QoQ; H1 8.4%.
Order bookOpening October export pipeline ~13,000 cbm; constrained by container availability.
Demand visibilityRetail strong; OEM weak; QCO support; industry 15-17% CAGR; oversupply two years.
Management confidenceBalanced-to-optimistic; repeatedly 'hope' and 'aim' on OEM and margin recovery.

Growth

Revenue ₹407 Cr, +4.6% YoY; volume -3.4% YoY as OEM losses offset retail +17%. Sequential +23% volume recovery.

Outlook

Targets mid-teen MDF volume growth in FY27; early-teens EBITDA margin only if volumes grow ~15%.

Risks

Lagged cost relief from costly opening inventory; OEM share ~15%; Middle East freight constraints; two years of oversupply.

Last quarter's promises, checked

Delivered

  • Guided volume ramp → Q2 vol +23% QoQ (= BEAT)
  • Guided no capex 18-24M → none lined up for 3Y (= BEAT)

Partly delivered

  • Guided export restart post-ME → ME still shut; Oct pipeline ~13,000 cbm (= PARTIAL)
  • Guided higher utilisation → not disclosed (= PARTIAL)

Missed

  • Guided ~9.6% margin hold → 7.5% (= MISS)
  • Guided OEM back this qtr (~20-25% mix) → ~15% H1, recovery deferred (= MISS)
  • Guided industry-leading growth from Q2 → vol -3.4% YoY (= MISS)
Source

Earnings Call Transcript filed with NSE, NSE: GREENPANEL. Summary written with AI assistance from the document.

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Greenpanel Industries Ltd: key numbers

Share price
₹124.00
Market cap
₹1,521 Cr
Revenue (annual)
₹1,539 Cr
Net profit (annual)
₹-29.13 Cr
P/E (TTM)
236.7×Sector 39.4×
Promoter holding
54.31%+1.05% QoQ
FII holding
1.03%Current quarter

Reference market data from a third-party provider, updated daily. Not a valuation or a recommendation.

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